Will Trump legalize cannabis

Donald Trump & Cannabis - The US President's Position

In addition to the results of the votes in individual states, the decision in the presidential election is moving more and more into the focus of stoners and supporters of legalization. What is the position of the newly elected US President Donald Trump on cannabis? What can be expected if his predecessor Barack Obama leaves office?

Trump's opinion on cannabis

In contrast to the support he expressed in 1990 for the legalization not only of cannabis but of all drugs, Trump expressed himself rather critical of cannabis in the presidential election campaign.

In June 2015, for example, he called cannabis “bad”, but in return expressed his 100% support for its medicinal use. Since October 2015, he has also made it clear that the individual states should enjoy decision-making autonomy in their cannabis policy.

During the Republican Party's primary campaign, Trump mentioned the cannabis use of his Republican competitor Jeb Bush and used this as a basis to portray him as incompetent.

In a February 2016 interview with conservative TV host Bill O'Reilly, Trump confirmed that the sale of cannabis legally purchased in Colorado was a real problem in other states in the country.

At the same time, despite repeated inquiries, he did not agree to announce measures against states that legalize cannabis. He also stated that he himself knew people who would benefit from cannabis as a medicine. He was against the consumption of cannabis beyond medical bases, but supported the medical use.

Even if Trump were to strive to suppress the development in individual states, this would in fact be very difficult. Since the votes on 08.11. Over 60 million Americans live in a legal cannabis system. Colorado and Washington State have a well-established, multi-million dollar cannabis industry. Given these conditions, massive federal funding would be needed to change the status quo.

Political environment and possible influences

Trump's recently declared Vice President Mike Pence was previously governor in the state of Indiana, which, in a comparison of all states, is very repressive with cannabis users.

New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who could soon take up a position in close collaboration with Trump, is also a fierce opponent of cannabis.

In general, many observers classify Trump's advisory team as rather conservative and cannabis-critical. This could have a negative impact on the nationwide debate in the United States in the next few years. In particular, full, nationwide legalization of cannabis in the USA appears unlikely.

The businessman Trump

As a more or less successful businessman, Trump promises economic growth for his term of office, which should particularly characterize his political work.

The legal cannabis industry could possibly play a role in achieving this ambitious goal. Some observers therefore see Trump's unwillingness to make money as a real opportunity for legalization.

According to an analysis by the consulting firm 10 Cowen & Co., the cannabis industry in the USA will swell from around six (2016) to 50 billion USD in sales in 2026. The average annual growth rate of the industry is therefore expected to be 24% over the next ten years. The exact numbers naturally also depend on political developments, but the prognoses alone could trigger a lot of movement among business people, including the President-elect.

It remains to be seen how Trump will position himself in concrete terms over the next few months. There is currently no concrete statement from him on the decisions in California, Nevada, Massachusetts and Maine.